mandag den 27. januar 2014

EM return - all FX ... Research paper

Following up from today Steen's Chronicle: http://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/fear-perfection-ll-never-reach-153674370 with commentary on among other things: Emerging markets return profile.

 

My friend Jeppe Ladekarl and his colleague Edgar Peters have done an excellent paper on the data – the conclusion still stands – depending on the asset class the return is mostly FX revaluations: In ELMI it's close to 100% and in MSCI its near 70% -

 

Conclusion world is full of smart managers on equity and fixed income, but their return is mainly in a class they don't cover, hedge, or even have a view on: Foreign exchange. Getting to understand why Fragile Five, BRIC and Latam currencies will have an impact?

 

http://www.firstquadrant.com/downloads/2013_Fall_JOI_FirstQuadrant.pdf

 

 

 

Med venlig hilsen  |  Best regards
Steen Jakobsen  |  Chief Investment Officer

 

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