torsdag den 19. november 2015

Steen's Chronicle Light: Video interview on Fed, EM, commodities, Australia done w. Rivkin and AFR article on why I love the AUD outlook.....

 

Good morning from Sydney where Santa Claus runs around in shorts and 40 degrees celcius weather…

 

Instead of long winded travel note I am giving you an interview done btw me and Rivkin's Scott Schuberg, where Scott does a great job of asking the right macro questions plus an article from AFR – the FT down here on AUD.

 

This week in Asia (Tokyo and Sydney) taught m:

 

-        The negative China view remains ''prefered view of consensus"

-        Japan is going from bad to worse – Abenomics 2.0 is a farce – next? Less monetary and more fiscal stimulus?

-        Commodities and EM remains unloved….at the 99% quartile

-        There is new optismism in Australia  - risk remain highly leverage housing and consumers. RBA is done on downside from now..

 

 

https://www.rivkin.com.au/blog/investing/2015/11/20/-video-interview-with-saxo-bank-chief-economist-steen-jakobsen-43844.aspx

 

 

==========================================================================================

 

http://www.afr.com/markets/currencies/australian-dollar-looks-cheap-if-china-does-better-than-expected-20151119-gl2zxe

 

 

Final note

 

Stanley Fischer again 'promises' December?

 

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/19/feds-fischer-on-rate-hike-dont-want-to-surprise.html

 

Thank you to my great colleagues in Tokyo and Sydney for looking out for me…….

 

Safe travels,

 

Steen

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