Macro: Australian leadership challenge...
My sources in Australia seems to believe Kevin Rudd has the votes to become PM tonight (Vote @ 11: 00 AM CET) –
We could be looking at an early election in Australia with Sydney/Canberra now talking about August date if Rudd wins in 50 min.
I'm very negative on Australia and the AUD - The worst terms of trade, a collapsing investment cycle, an unionized labor market and a general to relax attitude to the challenges ahead.
IF Rudd wins tonight - it will make the referendum (September 14th 2013) more interesting – Kevin Rudd will blame all on Gillard, revisit the carbon tax and generally create the momentum missing from Gillard and Labor over the past 12 month.
Tactically with Gold collapsing, more uncertainty I have opted to buy two week AUD put...as per below...
I see sub-90 inside the next two weeks.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/the-pulse-live/politics-live-june-26-2013-20130626-2ovyx.html
Med venlig hilsen | Best regards
Steen Jakobsen | Chief Economist
Saxo Bank A/S | Philip Heymans Allé 15 | DK-2900 Hellerup
Phone: +45 39 77 40 00 | Direct: +45 39 77 62 23 | Mobile: +45 51 54 50 00
Please visit our website at www.saxobank.com
This email may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this email
by mistake), please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
email. Any unauthorised copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this email is strictly prohibited.
Email transmission security and error-free status cannot be guaranteed
as information could be intercepted, corrupted, destroyed, delayed,
incomplete, or contain viruses. The sender therefore does not accept
liability for any errors or omissions in the contents of this message
which may arise as a result of email transmission.
Ingen kommentarer:
Send en kommentar