tirsdag den 9. september 2014

Charts: World growth / Copper / EURUSD

Small selection of charts I am preparing  / using in my next Steen's Chronicle & presentations…..

 

Core views:

 

US bonds will outperform Europe =è Rising EURUSD…

Yield and growth will reach low in Q1/Q2 2015

 

 

 

World growth w. copper leading three months = 1-1.5%?

 

 

Ratio of 10 Y Germany yield / 10 Yr US rates rebased to Index 100 benchmark.. Ie: Since ECB bunds TRAILING ….

 

 

Copper breaking down – also testing weekly and monthly: Hat-tip Matt.

 

 

 

My old simple chart: observe correlations btw. Growth trend & copper trend

 

 

 

Jobless claims as fraction of labor force – not all good news? St Lois source… Note the coindicidents of 20% reached in 2000, 2007 and 2014….?

Bunds tested support later today… for now its "safe"…

 

 

US yields still the most attractive in G-7… observe "mean-reversion"?

 

 

Is this why we should contemplate ECB actions as being bullish for inflation and hence EURUSD?

 

 

Asian growth continues to underperform…and to my surprise its now 40% of global GDP…

 

 

 

Med venlig hilsen  |  Best regards
Steen Jakobsen  |  Chief Investment Officer

 

Saxo Bank A/S  |  Philip Heymans Allé 15  |  DK-2900 Hellerup
Phone: +45 39 77 40 00  |  Direct: +45 39 77 62 23  |  Mobile: +45 51 54 50 00

 

Research: http://www.tradingfloor.com/traders/steen-jakobsen

Please visit our website at www.saxobank.com

 

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