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The most unlikely President ever?

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DAILY BULLETIN
Friday 20 January 2017
The most unlikely President ever?
by Victor Hill | Economics | 11 mins. to read
Most Unlikely President
On the day that the 45th President of the United States of America assumes office, during Davos week, I recall the observation of a great contemporary economist. Harvard's Ken Rogoff (I have often mentioned his work in these pages, especially This Time it's Different – Eight Centuries of Financial Folly) was at Davos last year. He told Bloomberg that he remembered the moment that he realised that Mr Trump was probably going to win. It was when the luminaries of the World Economic Forum proclaimed that it couldn't possibly happen.

(Similarly, I remember my 2016 über-moment when I realised that Brexit was overwhelmingly probable. It was a few days before the referendum when the BBC announced that their "computer" (more likely Evan Davies in an induced trance) had determined that Leave could not possibly win).

One of the most refreshing themes of the post-Brexit, Trumpian world is that the unexpected becomes normal. So it's a moment to reflect then on what might lie ahead for investors over the next four years. 

 
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QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Great deeds are usually wrought at great risks."
                                                Herodotus
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Master Investor Magazine 19
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