fredag den 6. januar 2017

Why you shouldn't expect big gains from the FTSE in 2017

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DAILY BULLETIN
Friday 06 January 2017
Don't expect big gains from the FTSE in 2017
by Victor Hill | Economics | 7 mins. to read
FTSE 2017
If you had decided to double up your exposure to the London stock market at the beginning of last year then you would have done well in 2016. The FTSE-100 was up by 14.4 percent on the year, confounding the economic realists (like me) and the Brexit doomsayers (not like me). Though, if you were a US dollar-based investor you did not do so well; in fact, given Sterling's post-Brexit devaluation, you would have been down by around four percent.

The New York markets did even better, surprising us all with the end-of-year Trump Bump – but that is another story. Autre pays, autre mœurs as the French say.

Now the FTSE ended 2016 at an all-time high (and New York was not far off its historic peak). Such giddy moments demand a certain amount of sober reflection by sanguine investors.

Are the forces powering this upswing sustainable? Will the bulls continue to outrun the bears? Where exactly are we in the economic cycle? What are the major downside risks for the UK stock market right now?

 
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QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Any man is liable to err, only a fool persists in error."
                                                Cicero
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