The general consensus on the street has been bearish on Crude since the US became a self-reliant energy producer and exporter. This, coupled with more energy-efficient vehicles may have subdued demand and brought oil prices down to multi-year lows (currently $49.00). While Russia does not want to cut production, increasingly many OPEC nations are considering it, resulting in supply uncertainty. To top it off, latest US rig count data showed an increase in rigs. We would like to propose a somewhat contrarian view relative to the street; namely that Oil may be due for a spike and we do stress 'may' as it is a volatile asset and one that is subject to a range of global macro-economic and political variables.
Our reasoning, however, is predominantly based on chart technical analysis. Looking at the weekly chart since 2006, the hedge-fund driven oil price spike surrounding Lehman Brothers in 2008 marked the multi-year high for the commodity when prices reached $147.00 for a few hours. This resulted in a stochastic and RSI peak followed by a very sharp drop off, mainly driven by a global economic slowdown. Over the years as the economies recovered, oil did too reaching a post-Iraq "new normal" of over $100… Click Here To Read The Full Story The Master Investor Market Report - The FTSE 100 closed the day at 6,868.96, an increase of 9.81 points.
- The FTSE 250 rose 112.36 points to finish at 17,871.04.
- The FTSE All Share climbed 8.46 points to finish at 3,740.27.
- The FTSE AIM All Share finished at 784.29, up by 3.77 points.
Home improvement retailer Kingfisher (KGF) said that sales climbed by 8.4% during the three months ended 31st July as reported sales at its overseas operations grew quickly and the company benefited from strong trade demand in the UK. The disposal of B&Q China was completed after the deal received regulatory approval and £63 million in net cash proceeds have been booked. Management said that the Brexit vote has generated uncertainty but that there has been no impact on demand to date, while widespread industrial action in France has proven a drag on results. The shares rose by 6.70p to 364.70p. |
Ingen kommentarer:
Send en kommentar