mandag den 12. september 2016

Where next for UK equities?

 
Where next for UK equities?

By Robert Sutherland Smith

According to the FTSE Actuaries Share Indices published by the Financial Times last week, the FTSE100 Index was valued at nearly forty times earnings and on a dividend yield of 3.7 percent; clearly showing that the big market cap, publicly quoted companies – largely internationally trading – were on average, paying dividends out of capital not from reported statutory earnings. Roughly speaking, the "earnings" yield on that basis is about 2.5 percent; self evidently inadequate to cover a dividend yield of 3.7 percent. The valuation measures for the UK oriented FTSE350 Index were a price earnings ratio of 34 times (an earnings yield of some 3 percent) and a dividend yield of 3.5 percent.

Naturally, this does not reflect the 'adjusted' and 'underlying' earnings of companies, with which we are now long familiar and which need to be taken into account when making judgements about the central ongoing 'core' of business activity.

One of the important differences between equity investment and bond investment is that the latter is a hostage to fortune whereas the former is a pro-active responder to it by changing business models to adapt to rapidly changing circumstances. If a subsidiary company that is performing less well is sold, then investors need to know what that will mean in terms of earnings growth, dividends and cash flow etcetera

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The Master Investor Market Report

  • The FTSE 100 closed the day at 6,700.90, a decrease of 76.05 points.
  • The FTSE 250 fell 163.95 points to finish at 17,730.24.
  • The FTSE All Share dropped 39.97 points to finish at 3,661.41.
  • The FTSE AIM All Share ended the day at 801.46, down by 3.83 points.

Primark owner Associated British Foods (ABF) said that full-year operating profits will be ahead of those in the prior period due to a good underlying performance during the second half as well as the effect of the recent fall in the value of sterling. However, the drop in long run bond yields means that the firm's pension scheme will have a defecit for the year of roughly £200 million. Shares in the company dropped 10.80% to 2,815p.   

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Investment manager Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) has had its regulatory capital requirements raised to £475 million. The FCA made the decision as part of a period review and it was based on the removal of insurance mitigation from the model of operation risk. However, the company said that its capital levels were comfortably above the new requirements. The shares fell by 5.40p to 320.10p.

Life science tools manufacturer ABCAM (ABC) saw its shares climb by 8.13% to 791p after announcing that revenues during the year ended 30th June rose by 19.2% to £171.7 million. Margins dropped slightly due to changes in exchange rates and reported profits before taxation fell 1.5% to £45.4 million due to investment in systems and the costs of acquisitions. 

Tomorrow's news today

JD Sports Fashion (JD.) will release interim results.

Quote of the day

"You may delay, but time will not."
- Benjamin Franklin

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