onsdag den 11. oktober 2017

Insch Newsletter - September 2017

September proved to be quite a lively month. Gold opened September at $1321, and during the first week of September saw a continuation of the bull run that was started in the second week of July. Gold reached a high of $1357 on the 8th September. Apparently, all of this was due to the sabre rat­tling between North Korea and Trump. However, after a couple of weeks, it lost steam and the mar­kets finally began to discount anything that was “war/North Korea” related. More to the point, gold was not able to hold its ground above $1350 which was seen by many as an important technical price lev­el. The combined effects finally pressured gold into a downtrend for the rest of September.

The second half of September saw the two-day FOMC meeting during which the Fed announced its unwinding of its $4.5 trillion balance sheet (the "balance sheet normalization program” as they called it). As expected. the Fed did not change its interest rates and this drove gold down even more.

Insch Kintore started September with net long 14 risk units as a continuation from August, and by the 8th September, it started to cut back on its long position. It reached a net short 14 risk units by the 18th September and held it for only 5 days before North Korea "declared war" on the USA. (This is not their first declaration of war on the US. In June 2014, Kim Jong-Un declared war on the US over a Hollywood movie called The Interview.) Insch Kintore ended September with a net short 3 risk units.

As mentioned, September was quite a lively month in that Insch Kintore reached both the maximum long and nearly maximum short exposure during the month. This is, again, a demonstration of the bi-directional nature of Insch Kintore and its ability to track both the up and down movements of gold. XAU/USD, XAU/CHF and XAU/GBP were positive performance contributors while the others were negative contributors.

Gold ended September at $1280 which translate to a decline of -3.10% for the month. On the other hand, Insch Kintore finished September with a +2.29% gross of fees, and the UniCredit Bank AG / Insch Kintore (Bidirectional Gold) AMC – ISIN: DE000HVB15X4  (Frankfurt Stock Exchange) ended up with +0.94% net of all fees.

Below is the daily net exposure chart for September 2017.

Insch Kintillo ended September with -0.80% gross of fees and had positive performance contribution from EUR/CAD, EUR/USD, GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY, and GBP/USD. At the end of September, the portfo­lio was short AUD, JPY, long EUR, USD and flat CAD, CHF, GBP.

We revisited of our previous papers titled “The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly: The Sequel” – this time, we took HSBC’s Hedge Weekly report as the data source, looked at the 2 most appropriate categories for Insch Kintore, and ranked each strategy by the usual performance criteria to come up with a final Overall Ranking.

Insch Kintore does not appear at the top of every ranking criterion. However, it does appear on the various rankings high enough, often enough, to be in the top 10 Overall Ranking. The report also re­ports AUM, and it is quite shocking to see that the largest and the biggest managers are not as liquid as one might think. A whopping 80% offer appalling liquidity of more than a month. This represents nearly $134B!

For further information and requests, please contact us.

Best regards,


Rivaldi Kwan
Associate Director

Insch Capital Management SA                                         
c/o Elvefin SA
Via G. Luvini 4                       
CH 6900 Lugano                   
Switzerland

E-mail: rivaldi@inschinvest.com

Phone: +41 (0) 91 921 0168
Fax:      +41 (0) 91 921 4078
Website: www.inschinvest.com
         

IVA/VAT N° CHE-422.389.748

 

 Click here to be removed for our mailing list.

Global Disclaimer

This report has been prepared by Insch Capital Management SA, referred to herein as “Insch”.

The figures contained in performance charts refer to the past; past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Additional information will be made available upon request.

This report is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. Nothing in this report constitutes a representation that any investment strategy or recommendation contained herein is suitable or appropriate to a recipient’s individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation. It is published solely for information purposes, it does not constitute an advertisement and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments in any jurisdiction. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein, except with respect to information concerning Insch, its subsidiaries and affiliates, nor is it intended to be a complete statement or summary of the securities, markets or developments referred to in the report.

Insch does not undertake that investors will obtain profits, nor will it share with investors any investment profits nor accept any liability for any investment losses.

Investments involve risks and investors should exercise prudence in making their investment decisions. The report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of any investment or income may go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount invested. Any opinions expressed in this report are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by other business areas or groups of Insch as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. Research will initiate, update and cease coverage solely at the discretion of Insch. The analysis contained herein is based on numerous assumptions. Different assumptions could result in materially different results. The analyst(s) responsible for the preparation of this report may interact with trading desk personnel, sales personnel and other constituencies for the purpose of gathering, synthesizing and interpreting market information. Insch is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. The compensation of the analyst who prepared this report is determined exclusively by research management and senior management.  Analyst compensation is not based on investment revenues, management fees, performance fees or commissions, however, compensation may relate to the revenues of Insch as a whole.

The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. Options, derivative products and futures are not suitable for all investors, and trading in these instruments is considered risky. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related instrument mentioned in this report. For investment advice, trade execution or other enquiries, investors should seek professional advice.

Neither Insch nor any of its affiliates, nor any of directors, employees or agents of Insch accepts any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.

Any prices stated in this report are for information purposes only and do not represent valuations for individual securities or other instruments. There is no representation that any transaction can or could have been effected at those prices or theoretical model-based valuations and may be based on certain assumptions. Different assumptions, by Insch or any other source, may yield substantially different results.

The disclosures contained in research reports produced by Insch shall be governed by and construed in accordance with Swiss law.

Insch specifically prohibits the redistribution of this material in whole or in part without the written permission of Insch and Insch accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties.

Ingen kommentarer:

Send en kommentar