mandag den 3. oktober 2016

Is OPEC’s deal credible and sustainable?

 
Is OPEC's deal credible and sustainable?

By Filipe R Costa

As readers are no doubt aware, OPEC recently agreed a production cut from its August output of 33.2 mb/d (million barrels per day) to a new target of between 32.5 mb/d to 33.0 mb/d. With OECD oil inventories expected at 3,090 million barrels by the end of this year, the agreed production cut is unlikely to have any real impact in the market. For now, investors seem enthusiastic about the "promised" cut, but as life moves on from the Wall Street reaction to the very real challenges facing Main Street, such enthusiasm may just peter out.

I must admit that I'm really not enthusiastic about oil and/or the sector in general for the coming years. While there are certainly some gems, the sector will most likely experience a long period of difficulties, as a whole. Oil prices are no longer the result of OPEC's actions but rather a complex determination that is partially floored by OPEC's desires but, at the same time, capped by an entire army of shale oil companies anxiously waiting for their opportunity to shine. Last Wednesday's agreement is not even the final deal but just the purchase of an option on oil prices that can be exercised at the end of November. Until then, any oil price moves are just the result of fancy Wall Street reactions to immaterial action

Click Here To Read The Full Story

The Master Investor Market Report

  • The FTSE 100 closed the day at 6,983.52, an increase of 84.19 points.
  • The FTSE 250 rose 312.10 points to finish at 18,183.52.
  • The FTSE All Share climbed 49.24 points to finish at 3,804.58.
  • The FTSE AIM All Share ended the day at 824.42, up by 5.32 points.

Institutional stockbroker Numis Corporation (NUM) said that revenues from core activities for the year ended 30th September exceeded £100 million for the first time. The company took part in 46 equity deals over the period and funds raised were just below £1.9 billion, with business activity continuing well despite uncertainty following the Brexit vote. Full results for the year will be published in December. The shares rose by 4.50p to 223.50p.

Don't miss our September issue! Click HERE to read.

Product testing group Intertek (ITRK) has bought a Canadian electronic warfare specialist for an undisclosed consideration. Management said that the deal strengthened its offering to customers and was in line with its strategy of targeting fast-growing businesses with strong margin prospects. The shares grew by 53p to 3,542p.

AIM-listed flooring specialist Victoria (VCP) saw its shares climb 4.28% to 341p after it announced the acquisition of underlay manufacturer Ezi for an initial cash consideration of £6.5 million with the same amount due to be paid out in installments over the next four years. There may be additional performance-related payments which would also be payable if certain EBITDA growth targets are met. 

Tomorrow's news today

Greggs (GRG) will publish a trading announcement.

Quote of the day

"Nothing is as obnoxious as other people's luck."
- F. Scott Fitzgerald

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