onsdag den 26. oktober 2016

Tread carefully with Emerging Markets

 
Tread carefully with Emerging Markets

By Filipe R Costa

One year ago the FED was discussing whether it should hike its key rate and thus reverse a policy trend that had lasted for a decade. By then, investors were anxiously awaiting such a move, and even expected a rate hike to be the first of many more to come (albeit gradually) over the course of the following years. The preparations for that particular hike were substantial, as the FED clearly feared the market reaction after so many years of near-zero interest rates.

And they were right: the reaction to the change in policy was negative and investors dragged down almost every asset class. Take oil, for example. The price of crude oil halved between October 2015 and February 2016. In the same period the S&P 500 declined 12% and Emerging Markets, as measured by the MSCI EM index, were battered down by 20%.

The tantrum created by the first hike has prevented the FED from moving on to the next hike. A hesitant FED turned a rate hike into such a big deal that everybody is taking a seat for the show

Click Here To Read The Full Story

The Master Investor Market Report

  • The FTSE 100 closed the day at 6,958.09, a decrease of 59.55 points.
  • The FTSE 250 fell 132.87 points to finish at 17,668.98.
  • The FTSE All Share dropped 31.38 points to finish at 3,774.38.
  • The FTSE AIM All Share ended the day at 825.17.

Shares in mining giant Antofagasta (ANTO) fell by 17.50p to 523p after production figures for the third quarter disappointed investors. The company said that its full-year copper output would be towards the lower end of expectations. Average cash costs have been cut relative to the prior year and the management are looking at cutting back on certain capital expenditure projects.

Check out our brand-new October issue! Click HERE to read.

Financial services firm CYBG (CYBG), owner of the Clydesdale & Yorkshire Bank, has confirmed press speculation that it is considering buying 300 Williams and Glyn branded branches from Royal Bank of Scotland. RBS is required to sell the business by the end of the year as a condition of its 2008 bailout, but several potential buyers have been put off by the complexity of decoupling accounts from the rest of its operations. CYBG shares closed the day at 271.50p, down by 0.60p.

Distribution and outsourcing outfit Bunzl (BNZL) said that performance in the second half of 2016 so far has been in line with the expectations laid  out in the company's interim statement. Underlying revenues for the third quarter rose by 7%, fueled largely by acquisitions and additional trading days relative to the same period of the prior year. The falling value of the pound boosted these results further in terms of statutory performance. The shares dropped by 28p to 2,197p.

Tomorrow's news today

Stobart (STOB) will publish its interim results.

Quote of the day

"If you keep thinking about what you want to do or what you hope will happen, you don't do it, and it won't happen."
- Desiderius Erasmus

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