torsdag den 13. oktober 2016

It’s a technology bubble but not as we know it

 
It's a technology bubble but not as we know it

By Adam Patterson

Are tech valuations supported by fundamentals or are we partying like it's 1999? 16 years since the bursting of the dot.com bubble, when the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 37% in the 10 weeks following its peak on March 10, 2000, the continued stellar performance of tech stocks and startups is once again raising eyebrows in some quarters.

Calling asset bubbles is like Paul Samuelson's oft cited joke about markets predicting nine out of the last five recessions. In other words, it's easy to do but harder to identify in real time. Sometimes only hindsight gives us a clear view of past events. Bubbles are also relative. Markets are made by differences of opinion after all.

Caveats aside, there has been extensive recent discourse on internet and technology stocks being or not being (that is the question!) in bubble territory. So, are valuations out of step with reality? Let's start by looking at the Nasdaq (IXIC), the traditional home for tech stocks

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The Master Investor Market Report

  • The FTSE 100 closed the day at 6,977.74, a decrease of 46.27 points.
  • The FTSE 250 fell 79.17 points to finish at 17,877.11.
  • The FTSE All Share dropped 24.07 points to finish at 3,789.92.
  • The FTSE AIM All Share ended the day at 825.24, down by 1.48 points.

Consumer goods giant Unilever (ULVR) said that underlying sales have grown by 4.2% during the first nine months of 2016 with growth in both volumes and profits. However, actual turnover fell by 1.8% over the same period due to changes in exchange rates. Latin American markets were hit particularly hard as currency devaluations had substantial effects on disposable incomes. The shares dropped by 3.41% to 3,596.50p.

Check out our brand-new October issue! Click HERE to read.

Financial services provider Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) held a record £67.6 billion of assets under management at the end of September and booked net revenues of £90.6 million for the quarter. New business inflows were £11.1 billion, which is 22% below the equivalent period of last year. Hargreaves Lansdown shares fell by 37p to 1,200p.

High street retailer WH Smiths (SMWH) earned profits before taxation of £131 million for the year ended 31st August, an 8% improvement over the prior 12 months. The improvement continues to be driven by the company's travel outlets as its more traditional offerings suffer. Profits before taxation climbed by 7% to £132 million. Shares in WH Smith rose by 7p to 1,532p.

Tomorrow's news today

Provident Financial (PFG) will publish an interim management statement.

Quote of the day

"Nothing is more obstinate than a fashionable consensus."
- Margaret Thatcher

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