After endless speculation, media analysis, and primaries, the US presidential election season is about to reach its conclusion. Polling and gambling markets are both pointing strongly in one direction, but they have been proven wrong in a number of recent high profile votes. So, if you are looking for some last minute hedging then we recommend you read through Robert Stephens' great piece below.
The US Presidential election will finally be over on Tuesday 8 November. It's been a long and interesting campaign, but we are still no nearer at this point to knowing whether Trump or Clinton will win. In fact, the latest polls show that Clinton's lead over Trump has been slashed following the FBI's announcement that it is investigating new Clinton-linked emails.
While the stock market may favour a Clinton win due to the higher certainty that she may bring to domestic and foreign policy, there is one stock which could benefit from a Trump win. That company is Mexican gold and silver miner, Fresnillo (LON:FRES).
The race for the Presidency has been volatile. Just when it seemed as though a Clinton win was a foregone conclusion, Trump has somehow made a comeback according to the opinion polls. One estimate puts the likelihood of a Clinton victory at 68%, another that Clinton has a 1% lead over Trump. In my view, this means that the election remains wide open. Although a Clinton victory may be probable, Trump could still win.
by Zak Mir | Trading| 1 mins. to read After some months in the wilderness it would appear from a technical perspective that shares of stock market darling Metal Tiger are back in business for the bulls.
by Nick Sudbury | Funds | 4 mins. to read You may have seen the pictures on the weekend news of Theresa May jetting off to India to smooth the way for the negotiation of the UK's first post-Brexit trade deal.
by Victor Hill | Economics | 21 mins. to read Risks in the international financial system have been rising for a while. In recent months bank valuations and some credit default swaps (CDSs – the rates at which banks insure each other) for European banks have reached levels not even seen during the Credit Crunch of 2008.
by Evil Knievil | Evil Diaries | 1 mins. to read I won £80,000 on Almandin last Tuesday in the Melbourne Cup but had lost £20,000 of that by COB Friday. However, by around 4.20 p.m. on Saturday I had lost a further £20,000. Not good.
by Zak Mir | Trading | 1 mins. to read I was reminded of Paddy Power Betfair (LON:PPB), not only on the basis that we are seeing much more volatility and interesting financial markets, but that we are also in the run up to a big political decision in the US.
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