fredag den 4. november 2016

Reality strikes at Sirius Minerals

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DAILY BULLETIN
Friday 4 November 2016
Dear Gutenberg,

Fireworks may be going off tomorrow, but the November issue of Master Investor Magazine will also be hot off the press in time for Bonfire Night. Be sure to take a look tomorrow for brand new material from all our regular contributors.
Reality strikes at Sirius Minerals
by John Cornford | Commodities | 5 mins. to read
Sirius Minerals
Shares in Sirius Minerals (LON:SXX) have rightly suffered a major pullback over the past few days, and many private-investor enthusiasts for the stock have been badly burned. The trouble with Sirius is that there is a lot of questionable analysis out there in the public domain right now. Here's my attempt at setting the record straight…

The theme underlying all my posts has been how to value a share – particularly those in the mining sector. Readers will have noted my scepticism that anyone in the markets – analysts included – knows how to do it properly. My scorn is particularly directed at 'bogus' valuations for long-term projects where an 'NPV' per share 'target' is relied on by almost all analysts (as far as I can see) to bamboozle investors.

I was particularly sceptical of those two brokers trying (and succeeding for a time) to hype up Sirius Minerals' shares in August (in order, of course, to ingratiate themselves into the accompanying juicy commissions gravy train) before the capital raise necessary to get its Yorkshire polyhalite fertiliser mine up-and-running in six to ten years' time.

 
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