Macro Digest: US Election: When do we know.......? Timeline for Wednesday early morning

This below is from John Hardy's excellent FX webinar…

 

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When do we know?

 

Add 6 hours to clocks across board – and you have estimated times for exit polls and states called….

 

What to watch?

 

The "orange states" are key….. hence from 01.00 AM CET votes are closed, but as John points out….. the "call" only came 23:15  EST ie… 5:15 AM

 

This makes 0300-0600 the most likely time for real indication of the result, with risk that if.. close – then we need to wait for West Coast – if Clinton sweep it could be earlier..

 

Well done Mr. Hardy!!!

 

 

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